India's Real Estate Sector Set for Steady, Sustainable Growth in 2026

Published: January 02, 2026 | Category: Real Estate
India's Real Estate Sector Set for Steady, Sustainable Growth in 2026

As India entered 2026, the real estate sector is positioned for measured yet sustainable growth across all major segments, industry experts said on Friday. While 2025 brought several macroeconomic and geopolitical challenges, 2026 is expected to be a year of recalibration and renewed economic momentum.

This outlook is supported by India’s strong GDP growth of 8.2 per cent in Q2 FY26, recorded despite global uncertainties and shifting trade dynamics. With this strong growth rate, the nation remains firmly on track to become the world’s third-largest economy by 2030, with an estimated GDP of $7.3 trillion, said Shrinivas Rao, FRICS, CEO, Vestian. To reinforce economic development, the government implemented a robust mix of fiscal and monetary measures. Fiscal steps included the rationalization of GST rates and revisions in income tax slabs.

On the monetary front, the RBI reduced the repo rate to 5.25 per cent and maintained a neutral stance, a move that is expected to bolster economic activity in 2026. Overall, the year is poised to witness holistic sectoral growth, strengthened real estate activity, and improved investor sentiment, Rao mentioned. The office market is projected to maintain its upward trajectory in 2026. According to Vestian Research, gross absorption is expected to reach 75–80 million square feet, driven largely by sustained expansion from Global Capability Centres (GCCs).

The IT-ITeS and BFSI sectors will also remain key contributors. Flex space operators are anticipated to further consolidate their presence as occupiers prioritize agility and hybrid workplace models. Leasing activity will be led by Bengaluru, Chennai, and Hyderabad, with Mumbai and Pune expected to record an increased share, said Rao. According to Prashant Sharma, President, NAREDCO Maharashtra, the year 2025 has been a landmark period for India’s real estate sector, marked by significant policy reforms, robust demand across asset classes, and a renewed focus on sustainable urbanisation.

Tier-II and Tier-III cities are set to play a larger role in India’s real estate growth story in 2026. Improved connectivity, rising employment opportunities, and emerging industrial corridors will shift demand beyond metros. According to Aniket Dani, Director, Crisil Intelligence, the outlook for fiscal 2027 is more optimistic, with demand recovery driven by rising incomes, lower interest rates, and continued infrastructure improvements. In contrast, commercial real estate is projected to continue its growth trajectory this fiscal — with demand rising 5-7 per cent and supply 9-11 per cent — fuelled by strong leasing from global capability centres, flexible workspace operators, and the IT/ITeS and BFSI sectors, Dani noted.

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Frequently Asked Questions

1. What are the key factors driving India's real estate growth in 2026?
The key factors include strong GDP growth, RBI repo rate cuts, GST rationalization, and robust fiscal and monetary measures. These factors are expected to bolster economic activity and investor sentiment.
2. Which cities are expected to lead in leasing activity in 2026?
Bengaluru, Chennai, and Hyderabad are expected to lead in leasing activity, with Mumbai and Pune also recording an increased share. These cities are driven by the IT-ITeS and BFSI sectors.
3. How will Tier-II and Tier-III cities contribute to the real estate growth in 2026?
Tier-II and Tier-III cities are expected to play a larger role due to improved connectivity, rising employment opportunities, and emerging industrial corridors, which will shift demand beyond metros.
4. What is the projected growth in the commercial real estate sector for 2027?
The commercial real estate sector is projected to see demand rise by 5-7 per cent and supply increase by 9-11 per cent, driven by strong leasing from global capability centres, flexible workspace operators, and the IT/ITeS and BFSI sectors.
5. What fiscal and monetary measures have been implemented to support real estate growth?
Fiscal measures include the rationalization of GST rates and revisions in income tax slabs. On the monetary front, the RBI has reduced the repo rate to 5.25 per cent and maintained a neutral stance to bolster economic activity.