India's Residential Real Estate: Mid-Segment Housing Takes the Lead in 2026

Published: December 31, 2025 | Category: Real Estate Pune
India's Residential Real Estate: Mid-Segment Housing Takes the Lead in 2026

After several years of sharp post-pandemic expansion, India’s residential real estate market is entering a decisive transition phase, with mid-segment housing emerging as the next growth anchor, according to the latest report by PropTech platform Square Yards.

The report, titled ‘2025 Recap, 2026 Outlook: Residential Real Estate’, highlights that 2025 marked a shift towards value-led growth. This phase is characterized by stable transaction volumes and a continued rise in overall market value, even as premium and luxury segments showed early signs of saturation in select mature markets.

In 2025, registered residential transactions in India’s nine prime residential markets declined by 5% year-on-year, while total sales value increased by over 11% in the same period. This growth is driven by a 22% increase in average deal sizes.

Regional demand patterns reflect varying trends. Western India accounted for over 80% of total registered sales value in 2025, supported by higher ticket sizes. Southern markets such as Bengaluru and Hyderabad continued to demonstrate strong end-user participation.

Within the National Capital Region (NCR), demand remained sharply price-segmented, with affordable and mid-market categories driving volume traction, signaling a more diversified and mature buyer profile.

“This divergence reflects a maturing market, where growth is increasingly shaped by demand rather than volume-led expansion. Amid a sharp rise in the number of wealthy Indians with higher disposable incomes, premium and luxury housing dominated value contribution in 2025, particularly across markets such as the Mumbai Metropolitan Region (MMR),” said Tanuj Shori, Founder & CEO, Square Yards.

Sustained price appreciation over the last three to five years has begun to test affordability thresholds in several premium micro-markets. While demand remains structurally resilient, incremental growth in the luxury segment is expected to moderate in 2026, indicating the onset of a stabilization phase rather than a slowdown.

According to the report, the residential sector is moving from a phase of expansion to equilibrium. “As premium markets stabilize, and affordability improves across the mid-income segment, 2026 is likely to witness broader-based, end-user-led growth anchored in value rather than exuberance. Transaction volumes are expected to remain steady, average ticket sizes elevated, and price growth more evenly distributed across segments,” the report said.

With housing inflation moderation and price growth stabilizing in several saturated markets, affordability for mid-income buyers is set to improve significantly, according to the report. This segment stands to gain from a mix of stable pricing, better-quality offerings, and infrastructure-driven expansion into peripheral urban corridors, although outcomes will depend on active developer participation and execution.

As a result, the mid-segment segment (properties priced between INR 80 Lac and INR 1.5 crore) is poised to drive incremental demand in 2026.

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Frequently Asked Questions

1. What is the current trend in India's residential real estate market?
India's residential real estate market is transitioning towards value-led growth, with mid-segment housing emerging as the next growth anchor. The market is showing stable transaction volumes and a continued rise in overall market value.
2. How did the residential transactions and sales value change in 2025?
In 2025, registered residential transactions in India’s nine prime residential markets declined by 5% year-on-year, while total sales value increased by over 11% in the same period, driven by a 22% increase in average deal sizes.
3. Which regions in Indi
showed the highest registered sales value in 2025? A: Western India accounted for over 80% of total registered sales value in 2025, supported by higher ticket sizes. Southern markets like Bengaluru and Hyderabad also demonstrated strong end-user participation.
4. What is the outlook for the luxury and premium housing segments in 2026?
Incremental growth in the luxury segment is expected to moderate in 2026, indicating the onset of a stabilization phase rather than a slowdown. Premium markets are stabilizing, and affordability is improving across the mid-income segment.
5. Which segment is expected to drive demand in the residential real estate market in 2026?
The mid-segment segment (properties priced between INR 80 Lac and INR 1.5 crore) is poised to drive incremental demand in 2026, benefiting from stable pricing, better-quality offerings, and infrastructure-driven expansion into peripheral urban corridors.